The Economic Model is designed to portend changes in the direction of the US economy six to nine months in advance of a turning point. It is not a stock market timing tool. Note that the Model has been signaling an economic expansion since November 2008 about six months before GDP bottomed. Overall, readings have strengthened, signaling the economic recovery will continue at a modest pace constrained by slow job growth, depressed housing conditions, high gasoline prices, and uncertainties regarding US fiscal policies.